Bottom line: A softer rate backdrop is opening a window for investors and brokers to lock cheaper DSCR debt and exit expensive bridge loans faster. Here’s how to translate this week’s macro shifts into better pricing—and bigger deal flow.
What just changed?
- The 10-year Treasury briefly slipped below 4%—its lowest level of the year— as markets priced in cooler growth and greater odds of Fed easing. Lower benchmark yields usually pull real-estate coupons down (spreads permitting). The Wall Street Journal+2The Wall Street Journal+2
- Markets are heavily pricing a 25 bp Fed cut at the upcoming meeting, with major desks and the IMF signaling room to ease. Whether the announcement lands this week or next, the direction of travel is clear: easier policy → softer financing costs, all else equal. Reuters+2Reuters+2
Why DSCR rates tend to follow Treasuries (with a lag)
Most lenders price DSCR loans off an index (often the 5-year Treasury) plus a risk-based spread. When Treasury yields fall, the index falls. If spreads don’t widen, coupons drop. That’s why even a 25 bp move can matter. Easy Street Capital+1
For residential mortgages more broadly, the classic relationship is 30-year mortgage rate ≈ 10-year Treasury + spread. Spreads can widen or narrow based on volatility and prepayment risk, which is why mortgage rates don’t move tick-for-tick with the 10-year—but the direction usually rhymes. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond+2Kiplinger+2
Translating macro → your DSCR pricing
Components of a DSCR coupon:
- Index: 5-yr (or sometimes 7-yr) Treasury
- Spread: Lender + deal risk (FICO, LTV, DSCR, property type, prepay)
- Adjusters: I/O option, cash-out, small-balance, STR volatility
Example (illustrative only):
- Last month: 5-yr UST 4.20% + 3.25% spread ⇒ 7.45%
- This week: 5-yr UST down ~25 bp to 3.95% + 3.25% spread ⇒ 7.20%
- If spreads also ease 10 bp on lower volatility ⇒ ~7.10%
Spreads can and do change. But if the index falls 25 bp and spreads hold, you feel most of that in the final coupon. Easy Street Capital+1
The math: how 25 bp helps DSCR (and loan size)
Property: 4-plex, NOI = $27,600/yr (after taxes/ins/PM)
Target DSCR: 1.15
- Before: At 7.45%, annual P&I capacity = $27,600 ÷ 1.15 = $24,000 → about $2,000/mo → loan size ≈ $405k (30-yr, rough)
- After 25 bp drop to 7.20%: Same DSCR → higher allowable loan ≈ $417k–$420k (∼$12k–$15k more)
- Or keep the same loan size and watch DSCR rise from ~1.15 to ~1.18–1.19 (better coverage for underwriting)
Small changes in rate can widen your buy box or cash-out options—especially on tight deals.
Bridge borrowers: your exit window just opened a bit wider
- Carry relief: Lower benchmark yields can filter into bridge pricing and interest-reserve assumptions, improving feasibility for value-add plays.
- Faster take-outs: If your rehab is 70–100% complete and leases are stabilizing, a lower DSCR coupon can get you over coverage hurdles that were barely out of reach last month.
- Refi laddering: Owners with multiple doors can stagger DSCR refis over the next 60–90 days to average into friendlier prints.
Lock vs. float: a pragmatic approach for investors
- Lock now if you’re within 30–45 days of close and the deal works at today’s sheet.
- Consider ARM or I/O if cash flow today matters more than rate-certainty for decades.
- Mind the prepay: A simple 3/2/1 step-down keeps the door open if spreads compress further.
Remember: Treasury down ≠ automatic coupon collapse. Spreads can widen during volatility. Keep expectations realistic. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
What to do this week (so you actually capture the move)
- Send the rent roll + T-12 → we’ll size DSCR at today’s index and a conservative spread.
- Order the DSCR-eligible appraisal early (saves 1–2 weeks).
- Tighten expenses (insurance quotes, tax appeals) to lift NOI and coverage.
- Pick your prepay (e.g., 5/4/3/2/1) before locking; it affects pricing.
- For bridge exits: Share rehab % complete and lease-up timeline—we’ll map a 21- to 30-day take-out plan.
Who should lean in right now
- Refi candidates stuck at DSCR 1.05–1.15 last month.
- Cash-out owners chasing cap-ex, new acquisitions, or reserves.
- STR portfolios where a modest coupon drop flips the coverage math.
- Bridge-to-DSCR flips inside 60 days of punch-list.
Ready for a same-day read on your rate?
Email your address list and rent rolls—we’ll return side-by-side DSCR quotes (fixed vs. ARM vs. I/O) and a clear refi timeline from bridge to take-out. If the numbers improved this week, you’ll see it on the term sheet.
📞 Call LoanFunders.com | ✉️ Send your T-12 & rent roll | 🌐 Loanfunders.com
Sources & further reading
Note: Pricing examples are illustrative; actual quotes depend on FICO, LTV, DSCR, property type, and prepay structure.